I’d like opinions about what is most difficult with predicting roulette, where the bottleneck is. I start out with some proposals:
Measurement accuracy
If one is imprecise when clicking the button to measure lap times, the prognosis will get less reliable. I have respect for this challenge, but others use to say that it not an important problem. But a combination of talent and training is necessary, right?
Ball predictability
If the ball decelerates irregularly, which I think it does at high speeds, no useful calculations can be done even with perfect measurements. If the ball behaves chaotic when it starts to fall inwards, because gravity and centrifugal forces balance each other exactly for a moment, the ball might not until then hold information about which diamond it will hit. Rollers are another phenomena in this category.
Scatter distribution
This is maybe the most discussed challange here in the forum. Scatter represents the risk one must take even if with perfect prediction. It obviously depends on the type of wheel (pockets) and ball.
Casino security
If good winnings create heat, then that’s a limit on profitability.
Money management
The risk of ruin is counter intuitive and dangerous. If one plays an advantage game forever with a finite bankroll, then ot can end in no other way than with the player being ruined! The solution is to bet only a small fraction of the bankroll, but that seriously reduces profitability. (I’ve started to look at this recently and will post another thread about it).
During testing I modified FF for each spin clocked to tell me from few rotations calculated ball time. It was within few milliseconds accuracy.
If from clocked rotations the FF cant produce accurate enough result it shows you finger in polite way saying error 3 or which means you are bad or error 2 which means you are really bad.
If repeating same spin and prediction shifts few pockets it is more because of inaccurate rotor clocking, because system doesn’t use error corrections for rotor cocking since we clock only one rotation.
Ball predictability
That is a challenge. But we can’t do much about it. It is as it is.
On some wheels it may be up to point that it is not worth predicting it.
Scatter distribution
No matter how accurate we predict, scatter can always turn it against us.
To have low scatter I would trade half of systems accuracy.
Casino security
It is not problem until you get noticed. Solution is to not get noticed.
Money management
There is always place to improve.
Gambling is gambling and personally I get sometimes to impulsive typical, for people born on Balkans. For many things we all know what is god and what not but we always do not go for the best.
So, to summaries, here are some cures for the difficulties:
-Software reasonability check for avoiding measurement errors.
-Being picky with the wheel to play on to minimize scatter and improve general predictability.
-Keeping low profile to avoid heat.
-Disciplined money management.
So, the toughest part is the money management then?
;D
How would you rank the difficulties? (Well, finding the perfect wheel would be a dream of course…) Are there other important factors which I didn’t mention?
The timing tolerance limits of your computer, I think it is a necessary feature! It means that the computer actually “understands” what is going on and doesn’t toelerate garbage-in garbage-out processing.
My degree of difficulty ratings would be…
Measurement accuracy
But a combination of talent and training is necessary, right?
RIGHT, I find clocking the rotor harder than clocking the ball combined DofD 5/10
Ball predictability
Rollers are another phenomena in this category.
Combined DofD 4/10
Scatter distribution
It obviously depends on the type of wheel (pockets) and ball.
DofD wheel 3/10 Dof D ball 8/10
Casino security
If good winnings create heat, then that’s a limit on profitability.
DofD 2/10 manageable
Money management
The secret is to know your odds and your risk and play within your bankroll however small your profits may be. Little fish are sweet! DofD 4/10
Total overall DofD 8/10 therefore IMHO I make a 20% long term profit.