I don’t have much timing or spatial talent. I haven’t tried Visual Ballistics (VB) before. But my recently revived interest in roulette prediction makes me want to try it. Mostly to get an understanding of how ball/wheel/croupier systems behave.
Luckily, where I live there are several pubs which have roulette wheels which:
+1) often (always?) are tilted. Actually, I’d say that the degree of tilt varies between “quite and very”!
+2) scatter looks very promising.
+3) late betting is allowed (depends little on croupier though).
+4) have no double zero.
+5) security is lax and croupiers probably not aware of advantage play.
However, the drawbacks are pretty whopping too:
-1) a plein win pays only 30 (thirty) times the money. :-
-2) maximum bet is only about half a euro. :-*
So there will be no big money involved (maybe fortunately so, for me!)
(Btw, do you think it is possible to “win back the money” from buyng FFZ during such conditions?)
SIMPLEST VB (VB for dummies?)
First, I know the (very) dominant diamond from observation (like, the diamond it hits EVERY time…)
Second, I have estimated the average scatter length (normally say +5, no big jumping around).
Third, let’s assume that the ball makes the same number of revolutions every time it’s spunn. This because the croupier (same) out of routine throws it with about the same force. The few times I have counted number of ball revolutions, they have been consistently 21 or 22. So assume 21 revolutions is correct more than half of the time.
Fourth, assume constant wheel speed. This might be developed by intuitively judging if the rotor is fast, normal or slow and change an offset accordingly. There is plenty of time to think about that while one is counting ball revolutions.
Fifth, when I count ball revolution say 19, then I note the position of the wheel, that is the number under the dominent diamond (or the angle to the easy to spot green zero, whatever method proves to be most practical).
Sixth, from the assumptions above should follow, that the rotor should move a certain distance during the last 2 revolutions of the ball. I have through observations determined an “offset” number of pockets. From memory and training, I quickly find a number close to that offset (which might be roughly adjusted for intuitively estimated rotor speed) and bets on plein, together with as many neighbors I can come up with from memory before NMB is called (which normally happens almost at the same time the ball hits the diamond).
Shouldn’t the odds that my bets are on the right half of the wheel often enough to beat the 1:30 odds? What do you think?
And more importantly than the small money involved here, would this approach be a good way of starting with VB? Would I learn something which would be useful with a roulette computer in a real casino where tilts are much smaller?