This is very real data from casinos wheel.
The red graph represents accuracy with which FFA was predicting
White graph is showing ball bouncing
And the blue graph is simulation what advantage the player can have based on supplied data.
The question is;
What would be the best way to play, how many pockets to cover?
The big problem here can be that the data was taken by diferent rotor speeds, diferent dealers, probably difrenet balls…So my conclusion is that mixing all the conditions the ball rarerly jumps more than 18 pockets. So, if my prediction is accurate (like this), proably i only play 2 kind of bets. When i notice that ball will hit around 22 (31 9 22 18 14…) i put 9 splits covering 18 pocekts sector (from 22 to 25), so my chance to win is about 65%, or more. If system predict 17 34 25 6 27…i do the another bet form 34 to 14, another 18 pockets. SURE i will have advantage, and very stability. The problem is wait to system predict one of those numbers…But…Is Roulette, nothing is easy…
Advantages of this kind of play–>You can stay hours at casino, you dont need bet all spins, so probably per croupier you wont do more than 10 bets
Another edge of this play is that you can do progresion. Imagine 2 win , you go to another example…
Start with 2,5, win two times go to 5 chips…and finish with 50€ chips…
If you do 20 bets in all night…is a possible way
If you play that way you have only ~12% advantage, on 100 spins win of 225 units if you use flat bets.
If you play 5 pockets at pick and using same amount in chips you will have 25% and profit 550 units.
But option A is more stable less unwanted surprises.
With option B you can easy experience 10 losses in a row. But even if data is shifted few pockets you are still in highly profitable area. With option A in such cases some of widely placed bets can actually be below green line.
Some people play only 2-3 pockets, 30% advantage but, but, but :-\
Yes forester, im ok with you…The best way is option B, but but but…
If you use option A, is similar to play two docens, but when lose lose only one unit and not two…i think the B option is much better, but is more unstable. And that is the fear…You know that on 100 spins you will win sure, and your edge will be around 30% but, will absorve your cash the fluctuations???its hard to define…
With your charts from real casino play… on the red accuracy chart you show a range of ‘0’ to ‘4.5’… I take it you mean that ‘0’ indicates a direct hit? and ‘4.5’ indicates the strike was ‘4.5’ numbers away from predicted strike? If that is what you mean then is the strike after or before the prediction on most occasions? I’m assuming the red chart indicates the ‘accuracy arc’ in numbers?
And by the way I didn’t realise that it takes 6 weeks to ‘make a pudding’ Now I realise why I prefer eating out most of the time!
With your charts from real casino play.. on the red accuracy chart you show a range of '0' to '4.5'.. I take it you mean that '0' indicates a direct hit? and '4.5' indicates the strike was '4.5' numbers away from predicted strike?
It isn’t my chart and my casino wheel.
X coordinate is how far from prediction we get hits, so from xx spins chart shows pick point of 4,7 hits at position 15 from prediction.
Now I realized that there is a mistake, it wasn’t real result but ptoportional.
From original data 3 neighboring bets were added then divided by 3 to get graph a bit smoother. (I think it was your idea long time ago) My mistake was I did not properly add neighbors only divided by 3.
So here is correction with prediction pick of 12 hits.
Actual hits around position 15 were 11,11,14, averaging to 12.
Anyway mistake doesn’t effect much blue graph since no matter how many spins is there it is represented as proportional result of 100 spins.
And by the way I didn't realise that it takes 6 weeks to 'make a pudding' Now I realise why I prefer eating out most of the time!
LOL, it is your business. Anyway he will write whatever he wants.
Same as he writes that I refused the offer, when in reality I was even ready to miss my flight just to make everybody happy.