It has nothing to do with opinion or right/wrong.
I only ask questions and try to find reasons.
I estimated 1:10 of spins could be effected, you say 1:6.
1:10 is only my general picture of what is happening.
Perhaps it could be 1:6 but it depends on what you look and by which intensity the ball would be effected.
The ball may enter rotor lower part with different speeds of last rotation therefore exiting point may be there and hit rotor close to that but it may be at any point as well even the ball was effected by rotor wobble.
Let’s say that it is 1:6.
If we play 222 spins.
185 spins will not be affected.
If we play only 3 pockets it will be 3x185=555 units
We will win (185/37=5)x36x3=540
Those 185 spins we lose 15 units 555-540=15
With remaining 37 spins
By playing 3 pockets we will use 111 units
We should get back 108 another 3 units loss.
But we need to make from those 37 spins
108 +3 + 15 +36=162
36 is to get an extra hit and 3 +5 is to overcome losses because of house advantage.
162/36=4.5 hits
We play 3 pockets therefore 4.5/3=1.5
To have win of 36 units on 222 spins we would need on 1/6 of spins to have hit rate of 1:24.6. ~ 1:25
It means playing about 11 hours Total turn over 222x$300=$66,600
to win $3600 by placing 3x$100 per spin.
Profit 5.4 %
It looks as possible but the player needs to be sure since he can easily be without single hit for 50 spins, and that brings him down by$15,000.
The question is can wobble create 1:25 on those effected spins.
It is hard to estimate it but if you say so I believe.
As you say after many spins it should show if there is advantage, but in reality all you need to do is to analyze spins where the ball may be affected.
If I estimate from affected 37 spins probably half will end up everywhere, but half may exit close to expected number, and scatter law may be less random.
My experience with bias.
I do have one wheel which has dominant ball exit point so I play it as tilt.
But when ball is traveling in opposite direction something as 50% of spins turn in to spinners. Is rotor wobbled I do not know but I noticed that on many occasions when ball is going in that direction it stops around 22 while on faster rotor it is more on 7.
I did benefit from that few times, but in between there was and times where I lost playing that way. Since my play is something as 50-60 spins, it may be just normal.
Such high percentage of spinners if rotor is wobbled may be good to investigate.
I will look more in to it.
To Mike,
I never asked you did you ever find reason what has happened with 12,000 spins when it was showing huge advantage but when you start playing everything went wrong.
