How to take advantage of a 2-3 pin game?

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[td]Another question, Last week when i visited a casino, i noticed that on the roulette wheels there was a tiny camera like device strapped onto it, each time the ball passed the camera, a tiny dot would flash, and each time the number zero would pass the camera, it was also flash. My question is, why on earth would the casino be wanting to measure the ball speed and rotor time? are they also attempting to track their own wheels for bias or fault?[/td]
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Yes they do, and if you look monitor pit boss uses sometimes you can see chart and which numbers getting more hits.

Reading the above posts, i am interested in knowing how advantage players track the wheel speeds, then make a decision as to how that wheel speed will effect their outcome.

I know that Kelly would track at least 300 spins before than playing one wheel. It refers to new unknown wheel. I do not, i need to know ball jumps scatter then play. I always play smaller bets then increasing it. For that time i also observe a lot. Ball drops and ball jumps.

I mean, each wheel speed produces a different scatter, sure with FF we just automaitcally measure wheel speeds, however if the scatter is going to be different, what is the point? especially with FF, seeing as we do not know what wheel speeds produce what scatter. Is wheel speed and scatter just adjusted by observation alone? or do advantage players just dont play a particular spin if the wheel speed is too fast, or varying too much from the original?

I do not agree that each wheel speed produces different ball scatter however the truth is that some ball speeds may produce different ball jumps. To be able to know how the ball jumps will look based on all rotor speeds we would need to analyse hundreds of spins for each rotor speed individually or grouped in groups, for example 2,3,4,5,6 sec. rotor.

Five groups for about 300 spins each, requires 1500 spins. Important here to understand is that we can’t get such data form a single scattergram, even if we have computer that will build 5 independent ones for 1500 spins it can’t be done if prediction is included since it relates only to ball jumps. Bottom line is; it has to be taken manually. Perhaps computer can tell us rotor speed but we manually would add such data of about 1500 spins have to take point where the ball dropped and where it ended since deviation of prediction can’t be included.

If after so much time we get such data we can use it but i do not see any use in adding it to the computer. To not play blind the players only control is observing ball drop point in relation to prediction he gets form his method of predicting. Regardless if it is VB or RC. The player can’t depend on a scattergram consisting of predictions and final ball stops since such chart will need about 100 spins until we start noticing difference.

If we manipulate prediction based on rotor speeds the player will lose main feedback about quality of his predictions.
If ball jumps based on rotor speed is so drastic then we have to place limit somewhere in program where form some speeds the computer will predict one values on the other side different values.
On the end if the player plays and system predicts zero the ball may drop at zero and next time when the system predicts zero the bal may drop at 5.

He will not have an idea is he doing things right. He can depend only on prediction-final results which takes 100 or more spins to be able to know if he is doing right or not. The player wouldn’t be able to respond to any changes on the wheel , since he wouldn’t have the feedback
prediction-"ball_drop_point".
His prediction will not be related to ball drop point but it will be effected by additional factor “rotor speed”.
So the system has to predict on the way so the player can see if he is getting things right. Once he has that he can do anything he wants. Nothing is stopping him to get data for slow rotor speeds and fast rotor speeds and place bets accordingly.

There is a post about all it please read http://rouletteplace.com/index.php?topic=878.msg7965#msg7965

“This is why the biggest weapon that an APer must have is PATIENCE”

Truth, that includes playing when things are in favour of him.
It would be much easier if we have a straight cut with conditions.
We all know it but often we do not get so clear cut and we play in gray area.
More experience the player has he can make better judgements what to do in particular situations.
First thing is always how to and how many times the ball will drop where he predicted so he knows he has an advantage, rest is a matter of statistics.

Naa, 300 spins is a bit over the top, but i wont start playing before i have a SD of at least 3 or 4 in a 9 number sector OR a smaller sector embedded in a 9 number sector with a reasonably high SD. Ill then make a quick calculation for the expectation over the next few hours. If i expect 60 spins in the next 2 hours, 20 - 25 might be playable and from the tracking i should have an idea how many hits i should exoect in those 20 - 25 spins.

After the first playing session i then use this first session to compare the first tracking session. First beside each other and secondly as a total mix or 1 long session to see wether the strategy can be more accurate or maybe if more than 1 peak, can be exploited better with double or triple sector bets. As the session samples grows, i can also add to the bet size. So in a way, yes you can say the real play starts after 300 bets, but it doesnt mean that i havent placed any bets before that.

PS: Yes some casinos uses the wheel and ball speed. The wheel speed goes into the computer statistics and the ball speed is in some casinos used to call an automated “No More Bets”

http://www.cammegh.com/files/PitBoss_HQ_User_Guide.pdf

PPS: Good Luck APs in Vegas, Cammegh is coming. Released 25th of May:

25th May 2011 - After 21 years of manufacturing of what are widely regarded as the world’s most sophisticated and precision engineered roulette wheels, Cammegh have been approved by the Nevada Gaming Control Board to design, manufacture and distribute their products in Las Vegas; one of the most strictly controlled gaming markets in the world. Andrew Cammegh said “It marks a major milestone in our company’s history, and an opportunity to work with some of the most exciting casino operations in the world”.

With all due respect, why on earth would you have to observe 300 spins before you play? i wouldve thought around 20 spins would be enough to determine whether or not there is a scatter pattern, dominant diamond, and wheel speed in relation to the scatter pattern… also the cammeghs are predictable are they not? i have seen quite a few with good ball deceleration time and good dominant strike points

hehe!
My friend Gambler you have so many things to learn :slight_smile:

The 20 spins can not even tell you if you have a TILT for sure…
The 1st 20 spins is to see if the wheel is qualified to be explored more to see if the DD hits were indeed from TILT or from a coinsidence.

The 300 spins are a MUST in order to find IF there is a scatter pattern and IF there is , then what is this pattern…
Bad and good fluxuations can always fool you with just 20 or 60 or even 100 spins…
IN AP we are not looking for floxuations or coinsidences … we are only looking for STEADY things that is caused by the Phisics…
So the 200-300 spins is the only way to go …

Allow me to give you a very simple example.
If you are watching a wheel and you see that the last 10 spins were REDS…does this means that the RED numbers pockets have some kind of bias??? Ofcource not … what you exirienced was just a COINSIDENCE … but the next 290 spins will tell you for sure , if this was a coinsidense or somekind of Bias.

Relax… if you really want to learn about VB you will build ur knowledje from questions like this. :wink:

I believe you’ve edited your[post while I was writing an replay.
Anyway here it is.

Forester, you stated that you do not believe in ball scatter varying in different wheel speeds, what do you mean by that? is your method just to watch the wheel for any significat change in speed, and then sit it out?

I didn’t say stated that you do not believe in ball scatter varying in different wheel speeds!!!
I do not agree that each wheel speed produces different ball scatter however the truth is that some ball speeds may produce different ball jumps.


This graph shows you clearly how it is changing and what is changing. I said it doesn’t change with every rotor speed change.

My argument is that adding change to predictions is useless. Not only because you will have to get 1500 spins data, which again can be changed due to some other factors but also because of changes added to prediction the player will have no clue if something is changed on the wheel. Playing blindly and waiting for kind of scattergram to show you results is not an advantage play.

Also what is wrong with cammegh wheels? from what ive seen some of them have quite good ball deceleration time, as well as strong dominant strike points.

Who said something is wrong with Cammegh wheels.
There is some with particular ball kind that I do not play simply because the ball jumps 3 rotations across the pocket until lit rests. It looks as it is made of rubber , even doesn’t produce sound.
If the scatter is manageable there is no reason not to play.

201 spin /20mm ball, rotor speed ~4 sec/rotation

Please note that this wheel has different pocket dividers (deeper) compared to Cammegh Connoisseur.

This is very playable wheel.
Only you can know and decide if the wheel is playable or not.

I like to upset Viper but this time he is right.
One is looking for tilt and in 20 spins deciding if it has further interest for you and the other thing is knowing it is good to play.
To know, you learn on two ways.
One take your time and get data from many spins.
Another is play small and observe but on the end you again need to know same.

Once you are familiar with the wheel you do not have to do same each time.
I found 4 tilted wheels, I track them. Two of them I found playable.
I did it 2-3 years ago and they are still tilted even they check for level every morning.
After that I never check them for tilt again, I just play and while I play I always see same.

I understand that some events in roulette occur by random fluctuations, however surely if you see a wheel, and in 30 spins 90% hit the same 2 diamonds, and the offset was the nearly always the same when the wheel speed was constant, surely this would mean that the wheel would be playable for a VBer? i mean, i highly doubt forester walks into a casino and sits there for 100 spins before he even places a bet, certain things such as a red streak arent physics, however if a wheel demonstrates certain characeristics within 30 spins, surely we have no need to collect 200-300 spins? i mean, what if they decide to change the ball when you are tracking those 200-300 spins, or the dealer changes and all of the sudden the wheel speed changes too, then all your data has gone to waste.

“”""“however surely if you see a wheel, and in 30 spins 90% hit the same 2 diamonds, and the offset was the nearly always the same when the wheel speed was constant, surely this would mean that the wheel would be playable for a VBer?”"""""

No… this would mean that this wheel MAYBE is playable … so the next 200 + spins will tell you if this is a FACT .

“”"“i mean, i highly doubt forester walks into a casino and sits there for 100 spins before he even places a bet,”""""

Here we don t care if Forester or me or anyone else is doing this or no…
Here we caare to teach you the CORRECT way of play in order to play with the biggest succes possible.
And if you really want to know… YES Forester in several visits he has gathered the appropriate datas that are needed. :wink:


“”"“i mean, what if they decide to change the ball when you are tracking those 200-300 spins, or the dealer changes and all of the sudden the wheel speed changes too, then all your data has gone to waste.”"""

Correct … and this why Forester is always saying that AP is NEVER easy …
And this is why you need to have a mule patience …
And this is why you have to have a TEAM to split the datas recording.

Okay, so would this be an appropriate approach to playing VB at a table:

-Firstly, find a wheel that demonstrates a potential for VB play.

Then, write the following down over teh course of 200 spins:

  1. Diamond’(s) which are getting the most hits
  2. Scatter, offset
  3. Scatter in relation to the different wheel speeds
    4.Type of ball being used, e.g: heavy, light, ball characteristics

Once these 4 criteria are filled and demonstrate good conditions, after 200 spins then we can come back and play the wheel, whilst still checking (whilst playing) that our conditions are not changing.

Is this correct?

That’s also correct, but you described extreme condition.
With improved conditions advantage increasing exponentially because the player can react better.
If he predicts 20 spins exactly where the ball drops and if ball instantly stops of course he can play. If something changes he can spot it within one spin.

  1. Diamond’(s) which are getting the most hits
  2. Get scatter 5 sec range rotor, get scatter under 3 sec range rotors if you are going to play
  3. Try to predict and see if you can get consistency to drop point
  4. Manage it with scatter…offset adjustment

Not sure if ball type is important since same looking ball may give you different results but in usual jumps are same.

I agree with all the above that Forester said and its a very nice reply for ur questions Gambler.

The only thing that I don t agree is that the ball type is not important…
Teflon ball will procuce deferent bounces than an Ivory one.
There is no better ball type or worst… it s all depending on the relationship between the ball type + the rotor frets + the rotor speed.

If I were you I would only record the Rotor speeds that are between 3-5 secs/rev. Because those speeds can give you an advantage IN SOME OF THE SPINS if the ball is hitting on some other Diamonds .
Eg, a 5 secs rotor is called the ULTIMATE rotor speed… this is because it can match some hot zones if the ball will hit an other Diamond.
I know it s a rare speed… but aas I told you patience is the key.

I mean same type of ball most likely would jump same.
Once you know how the ball jumps and how to predict it, doesn’t matter which kind of ball it is.

I mean same type of ball most likely would jump same.
Once you know how the ball jumps and how to predict it, doesn’t matter which kind of ball it is.
Also with very fast rotor ball travelling time may change. The best is to consider it as completely different game.

Gambler, personally i take stroll around the casino and notice 3 things:

  1. When is “No More Bets” called.

  2. Wheels with as few as possible strike diamonds, i watch maybe 10 - 20 spins on each wheel.

  3. Ball types. If i can find a Teflon ball, that wheel will have first priority if it also has a tilt.

After that i will have narrowed the possible wheels down to 2 - 3. I will then start “dry tracking” the wheel that looks best or most tilted and if there is a Teflon ball in it, even better. At this point i don`t really know which is the better, because i have only very little data. Like forester says, a semi tilted wheel can really act in many different ways over 200 spins. They might not AT ALL behave like the initial 20 selection spins. If you have perfect conditions like you mention, obviously the tracking will kick out with 3 - 4 standard deviation already after 30 - 40 spins. At this point its hard NOT to start placing a few bets which is okay and i also do that.

I dont as such make a scatter diagram anymore, because it is already incorporated in the dry tracking analysis. If you are familiar with Scotts analyse software you know what im talking about. I dont make the predictions quite the same way as he does, but i analyse my data in his program the exact same way as he does. I also use the expectation calculation as he describes, which is quite usefull.

My post above didn`t say that i track 300 spins before i play, but it might take 300 spins before im up at my maximum betsize which is where i trust i have the proper off set for the different wheel speeds. There is no need to go “all inn” after 20 spins, because at this point the off set is not very precise due to different scatter from different strike diamonds. I usually play 5 - 6 days in a row, so i basicly have maybe 1000 - 1200 spins ahead of me. No need to rush anything and dump the entire bankroll the first day, because one is not patient enough.

You wouldn`t want to live in a 9 floors building that an engineer has drawn up in 20 minutes Monday morning before lunch either. Take a bit of pride in the tracking and get a proper analyze of what is happening and lay out your betting plan accordingly as you grow more and more confident in the analyze you get out of the data you collect. Relax a bit, maybe sing a little Kum Ba Ya as the day proceed.

When you feel you are ready, FLOOR THE BASTARDS AND RUN !

Hi Kelly excellent posts, they help much.

How many hours do you play in the casinos over a year ?

If it is to indiscret don’t answer.

For example the “Sachsens” dad and son :

The son about 200 days 5 to 10 hours,

the dad only 4 days every tour, about 150 to 200 days 7-10 hours.

My person about 250 days 6-10 hours.

regards E.H.

Estimated 70 days a year of 7 - 9 hours. But it differs a lot. I have had some eye problems for some time, but i solved it. I tryed glasses but couldn`t get used to it. So i was inactive for some months.

Yes eyes problems are bad for VB, there is a guy called “Der Eiserne Gustav” he is
now 82 years old and was still from the beginning till now in Hamburg in the casino ,
and he has eyes problems too.

But the “Sachse” said, his VB announcements are still right.

The best E.H.

hahahah, " FLOOR THE BASTARDS AND RUN"

well put, lol. Well on the topic of tracking, what methods do you recommend? Sitting at the wheel over a few days, taking data then playing, or sitting at the table for a long period of time then immedietly playing? i mean i guess if you sit at the table over a few days, the rotor speed on the day you decide to hit them hard, might be too fast. Then again, the wheel might have had some sort of maintanance or something. Question is ‘how can you be sure that the conditions will be the same on your day of attack?’ then again i guess the answer ot that question is: “you cant”, which what makes VB so difficult.
Though im curious Kelly, have you had any situations where youve tracked a wheel, then hit the casino really hard then just disappeared? haha.

I might not start placing some real bets the first day, but sometimes i do. Sometimes i run a complicated black and red chart to try to appear like a typical system player with the occasional sector bet. If something appears fishy the second day, i track for a while, go to the car or hotel and run another analyse. If its playable i proceed. I might keep playing my black and reds with small stakes, but gradually the real play should fire up. On the third day, it should be pay day. After 1 - 2 days you should know where the ball should fall to be in the optimum place for a hit, if its not when it drops, something might not be right. Keep tracking strike diamonds to see if the wheel has been maintenanced.

Well i had a few encounters over the years but nothing real serious. I was once approached by security at my car on my way off from the casino despite that i deliberately had parked the car in the neighbour car park outside the reach from the casinos cameras. Without saying it directly, it was implyed that it was a good idea to approach another casino the next day and not use their facilities anymore. Nothing heavy, but the meaning was quite clear. At this point i was up around 20K which was a lot for me but only small stakes for the pros. So i was actually slightly surprised that they took such action.

“”“At this point i was up around 20K which was a lot for me but only small stakes for the pros. So i was actually slightly surprised that they took such action.”""

Did you realise now Gambler that its not about how much money you will make? Its all about HOW you are making it.

“”""“If something appears fishy the second day, i track for a while, go to the car or hotel and run another analyse. If its playable i proceed. I might keep playing my black and reds with small stakes, but gradually the real play should fire up. On the third day, it should be pay day. After 1 - 2 days you should know where the ball should fall to be in the optimum place for a hit, if its not when it drops, something might not be right. Keep tracking strike diamonds to see if the wheel has been maintenanced.”""""

Did you also see that you must NOT play from the 1st day???

Vb and RC is like being a hunter.
You are obsearving the terren - field 1st , then you set the traps , and then you are starting hunting-shooting.

FLOOR THE BASTARDS AND RUN !

I might add, on the second or third day its usual pay day BUT with some experience one should time it properly. Wait for the dealer and pitboss you during the other days has build a good relationship to, dont try and force something through on the grumpy teenage dealers shift who had too much extasy the day before outside the Pub.

At some point after 2 - 3 days contious wheel watching you kind of KNOW that now its time. For whatever reason things is running technically smooth, the ball comes down as expected it bounces as expected, everything is as you know it will be. Even your red and black play are in profit (holy crap !) Well, strike them and strike them hard and dont forget to double tip the dealer, it will stretch your run for a while. After a while, its not enough, i know. But at this point you have reached the RUN part.

Has anyone seen the following on a specific wheel?

The ball is spun.
It leaves the rail everytime exactly at the same place on the track.
It then proceeds on it’s way down to the rotor.
Just before entering the rotor it suddenly moves back up the track again almost like a smiley face.
It will go up say 2/3 on the track before moving back down again and entering the rotor.

I thought it could of been playable by taking the DD as where it would actually enter the rotor BUT quickly saw that the ball missed deflectors and that several spinners resulted.

I’m just asking because I found it interesting. Is this caused by a badly warped track?

On the issue about VB2 and trad. VB. I use both but honestly if conditions are right prefer VB2 simply because especially on crowded tables I have enough time to place my bets. On crowded tables I will make a call bet and then add 3-4 chips. With Traditional though, time is limited, crowded tables a mess. Elbows, arms, heads and feet… all in the way! Also you get these assholes that believe the dealer can especially miss there sections, so they wait for the dealer to spin and then make the three allowed call bets, leaving me with none. At least with VB2 I sometimes get a call bet in.

Both works well (I even played touchbet the other day with a metronome beating away without earphones… and the guy on the terminal next to me having a curious peek at me now and again!) I changed to VB2 though because of time to place bets though. Both worked well.